US Intelligence Doubts Effectiveness of Iran Military Strikes

A new US intelligence assessment casts serious doubt on the effectiveness of continued military strikes against Iran. The CIA believes Tehran will not feel a significant impact from further air strikes, describing an indefinite limbo between peace and war. That directly challenges the administration's strategy. 10 consecutive nights of strikes and retaliation have not moved Iran. Iran has struck US radar and air defense systems in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. Meanwhile, the US continues to strike Iranian military command centers and missile launch sites. Satellite images show 228 structures damaged at US sites. The Pentagon confirms 17 US service members killed, with the actual number possibly higher. Iranian authorities report 50 civilian deaths. Iranian leaders now describe this as a full-scale war. President Masoud Peski warns of harsh retaliation. The army vows to crush all US regional infrastructure if threatened. The assessment echoes earlier intelligence. In March, US intelligence found Iran's government remained cohesive despite losing its supreme leader. A June 2025 DIA report concluded prior strikes failed to dismantle Iran's nuclear program. One former senior official called the administration's belief that incremental pressure will yield concessions almost certainly incorrect. This pattern mirrors historical precedents, as detailed in the book ...